
The Future of Geopolitics and the Global Economy
Why is China roiling the waters, raising the economic stakes, and upending relationships?

Export Conundrum—Depending on China for Prosperity
Nations around the globe are increasingly dependent on exporting to China for their economic prosperity, boosting the communist country’s geopolitical influence.

Reports of Europe’s Economic Death Are Greatly Exaggerated
Europe’s economy shows signs of life. Here’s what investors need to know.

If Things Are So Good, Why Does It Feel Bad?
Economic dyslexia: Here’s why so many Americans see the resilient U.S. economy as a disaster.

Notes on the Economy – Q2 2024 Summary
Is waiting for an impending recession like waiting for Godot? Will it ever come, or is the economy already in the midst of a soft landing?

Here’s Why the Fed Seemingly Ignores the Consumer Price Index
Inflation seems to be on the upbeat, according to the Consumer Price Index, but the Federal Reserve follows a different drummer.

Solving the Strong Labor-Market Puzzle
Despite resilience, America’s labor market shows signs of weakening—the atrophy could begin later this year.

Why Were Economists Wrong About a 2023 Recession?
Most experts last year predicted America’s economy would have slowed down or entered a mild recession by now. Here’s why that that hasn’t happened…yet.

Notes on the Economy – Q1 2024 Summary
The U.S. economy closed out 2023 on a strong note, but many background elements are negative
despite positive headline growth figures.

2024-2026 Economic Outlook: Expect A Slow Start
WEBINAR REPLAY: See AMG experts discuss their forward outlook for the economy and markets.